Wednesday, October 14, 2026

East Asia Brief

Business•Industry•Policy Intelligence

Policy TrackerSemiconductorsChina

China Customs logs 6.7% rise in September rare earth exports

Outbound shipments rose to 4,269.8 metric tons worth $68.1 million as buyers replenished stocks despite export licensing rules on heavy rare earths.

A forklift carries a pallet of sacks toward a cargo truck at an industrial mineral processing facility in China. (AI-generated image)
A forklift carries a pallet of sacks toward a cargo truck at an industrial mineral processing facility in China. (AI-generated image)

China shipped 4,269.8 metric tons of rare earths in September, an increase of 6.7% from a year earlier, according to preliminary trade data released Oct. 14, 2026, by the General Administration of Customs.

The value of those outbound shipments rose 14.3% year-on-year to $68.09 million during the month. Export volume fell 9.8% compared with the 4,735.1 metric tons dispatched in August, the customs agency said.

Cumulative shipments across the first nine months reached 43,711.2 metric tons, a drop of 9.6% from the corresponding period of 2025. Total export revenue through September totaled $502.02 million, customs figures showed.

China accounts for roughly 70% of global mined rare earths and more than 90% of global refining capacity for the 17 magnetic and industrial elements. The export volume is a critical indicator for international magnet makers, defense contractors and automotive supply chains.

The year-on-year rebound in September broke a multi-month volume contraction driven by tighter regulatory oversight. Beijing implemented mandatory export licensing for seven medium and heavy rare earths in April 2025, requiring individual export reviews and verified end-user declarations.

Those restrictions cover dysprosium, terbium and yttrium — elements vital for heat-resistant permanent magnets used in electric vehicles and military hardware. The licensing mechanism created extended customs inspection queues and constrained direct outbound tonnage throughout the first half of the year.

September demand rebounded as overseas manufacturers began rebuilding stockpiles following the summer factory lull. Automotive and industrial equipment assemblers placed procurement orders ahead of the fourth quarter, according to trading desks in Shanghai and Singapore.

Unregulated light rare earth elements and permanent magnet compounds supported the September volume increase. Materials outside the dual-use control list require standard export declarations, avoiding the ministerial approval process required for heavy rare earths.

Export destinations continued to show sharp divergence under the regulatory regime. Direct shipments to the United States and Japan have contracted significantly since the introduction of end-user certifications.

Earlier customs disclosures showed Chinese rare earth exports to the United States dropped 49% year-on-year in the first half, while exports to Japan fell 43.8%. Shipments of dysprosium to Japanese buyers were halted for nine consecutive months.

Japanese magnet producers such as Shin-Etsu Chemical and TDK face direct operational exposure to Chinese heavy rare earth controls. High-grade neodymium magnets containing dysprosium generate an estimated 15% to 20% of specialized advanced materials revenue for those manufacturers.

In contrast, Chinese shipments to intermediate trading partners and alternative manufacturing centers have remained steady. South Korea and European distribution hubs have maintained stable intake of unlisted rare earth salts and permanent magnets for local processing.

Chinese state refiners have also paced shipments against annual production and export allocations. China Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth Group together control more than 70% of China's annual mining and smelting quotas.

State-owned refiners typically accelerate cross-border deliveries toward the end of the third quarter to exhaust remaining quota allocations before annual review windows close, market participants said.

Electric vehicle traction motors require between 1.5 and 2.5 kilograms of neodymium-iron-boron magnets per vehicle. Direct-drive offshore wind turbine generators can require up to two metric tons of rare earth permanent magnets per unit.

Western procurement managers have expanded commercial buffer inventories to hedge against potential regulatory changes. That purchasing behavior has created recurring surges in monthly export volume whenever customs inspection clearance rates improve.

The preliminary trade release on Oct. 14 did not include element-specific volume breakdowns under individual Harmonized System codes, and the customs administration has not published the country-level shipment allocation for September.

The General Administration of Customs is scheduled to release detailed Harmonized System commodity data covering specific rare earth compounds and destination countries in late October.

Impact map

How this development propagates across the region and out to global buyers.

EventKoreaChinaJapanGlobal impact
China heavy rare earth export licensing processing hubs maintain steady unlisted light rare earth and magnet intake China Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth Group exhaust remaining quarterly quotas Shin-Etsu Chemical and TDK face constricted dysprosium and terbium deliveries EV and wind turbine supply chains face 9.6% cumulative year-to-date volume contraction

In this story

Companies
China Northern Rare EarthChina Rare Earth Group
Tickers
600111.SS000831.SZ
Exposed
Shin-Etsu ChemicalTDK
Policy
Export Controls
Impact
Supply ChainPricingCompliance

Track every Export Controls development →

Related briefings

Sources

Primary documents

  1. customs.gov.cn

Reporting

  1. metal.com
  2. smm.cn
  3. cnfeol.com
  4. jrj.com.cn

Confidence: high — how we grade this

The documents behind this briefing are linked above. East Asia Brief produces its English text with AI assistance under human editorial review, and does not translate or republish other outlets' articles. See our methodology and AI policy. Spotted an error? Tell us.

WZ

Wei Zhang

China correspondent, semiconductors — Wei Zhang covers Chinese fabs, domestic equipment substitution and the packaging capacity being built to work around import restrictions.

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